Will an independent/third party candidate get more than 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 election? [Swift Centre]
Basic
10
Ṁ903Nov 19
7%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This could include Donald Trump if he does not run on the Republican ticket.
https://open.substack.com/pub/swiftcentre/p/will-trumps-legal-battles-hinder
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will a single third party candidate receive 2% or more of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election?
4% chance
Will any candidate get a majority of the popular vote in 2024?
83% chance
Will a third party get more than 2% of the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Elections?
2% chance
2024 US Election: Will a third-party candidate get 2%?
2% chance
2024 US Election: Will a third-party candidate get 3%?
2% chance
Will the third most popular candidate in the 2024 US presidential election receive X% or more of the popular vote?
Will at least three candidates win at least 1% of the national popular vote in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
11% chance
Will the margin in the popular vote in the 2024 election be larger than any individual 3rd party's vote share?
87% chance
What percentage of the vote will the third most popular candidate get in the 2024 Presidential Election?
What percent of the popular vote will third party candidates get in the 2024 election?