Elon Musk’s team of non-Senate-confirmed outsiders now has control of the Treasury payment system.

This resolves YES if regular payments administered by the Social Security Administration are delayed for any reason between now and December 31, 2025. “Delay” means in a single incident involving at least 100,000 recipients, the money arrives more than 24 hours later than scheduled payment date in people’s bank accounts.

• Update 2025-04-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarified Programs:

  • Any program administered by the Social Security Administration (SSA)

  • Must disburse payments on a regular basis

  • Must serve more than 100,000 people