Another manifold market asks whether there will be a single-person operated unicorn company (valuation over 1 billion USD). I take it a step further and ask whether it could be entirely self-funded, self-owned, or otherwise an example of “pulling up by one’s bootstraps”.

I will use my discretion to decide what is valid, therefore I won’t bet on this market. Determining valuation for such a company will be tricky, so it may depend on the company being sold or going public.

I think the closest example currently is Eric Barone, the creator of the video game Stardew Valley, which has had probably somewhere in the 100s of millions of dollars in revenue.