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@NickHeinonen Should the close date be end of 2024? It seems like a couple days into 2024 at latest would be more appropriate.

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https://manifold.markets/LeonardoKroger/will-twitter-file-for-bankruptcy-be

https://enersection.io/twitter/

Should I step down as head of Twitter? I will abide by the results of this poll.

https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1604617643973124097#m

@AndyMartin this might substantially lower the odds of bankruptcy

Hard to imagine it won't be reversed, but Paul Graham got suspended from Twitter for mentioning he has a Mastodon account: https://mastodon.social/@caseynewton/109537017200425834

Seems like many more will follow

RIP Elonophobes

Before = before.

https://manifold.markets/LeonardoKroger/will-twitter-file-for-bankruptcy-be

If Elon couldn't subsidize it with his personal wealth, I think it would be plausible, but it seems to me like he would be willing to do that.

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Shaking out all the weak people there

https://www.barrons.com/amp/articles/elon-musk-bankrupt-warning-twitter-tesla-51668176077

Instagram had hundreds of millions of users with a dozen people, and frankly Twitter could be better run with a few dozen and an ad team than it has been for years.

Elon is shaking out all the rot of teams that never ship, the majority of staff being hall monitors and commissars, and something between user count fraud and incompetence by the anti-spam teams.

Wouldn’t be surprised if >90% turnover occurs, and even on 2b revenue (50% haircut) it’s trivial to get back to cash flow positivity after cleaning house.

@Gigacasting He is also scaring away major advertisers

Will Twitter go bankrupt before 2024?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition