Will El Salvador's murder rate be below 10 per 100,000 inhabitants in 2030?
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36%
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The prediction market will resolve as "Yes" if, by December 31, 2030, El Salvador's annual murder rate is below 10 per 100,000 inhabitants, based on reliable international sources such as the United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC), the World Bank, or other internationally recognized organizations that compile and report on global homicide statistics.
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