Will a market generating bot be launched in Manifold by the end of 2022?

12

340Ṁ671

resolved Dec 31

Resolved

YES

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

A bot that automatically creates new markets.

Get

1,000

to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1		Ṁ57
2		Ṁ28
3		Ṁ11
4		Ṁ9
5		Ṁ6

People are also trading

Will Robin Hanson create a market on Manifold by the end of 2025?

Will Nick Bostrom create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Will Elon Musk create a market on Manifold before the end of 2030?

Will Vitalik Buterin create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Will Robin Hanson create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Will a U.S. Federal Government entity create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Will Sam Altman create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Will Bloomberg create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Will a U.S. State Government entity create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Will the Atlantic create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Sort by:

This is already the case: the 538 bot and the Metaculus bot, and I think @LivInTheLookingGlass has finished hers.

Arguably I am already trying to do that with my scanner goal. At the very least Manifold PRs would automatically gain a market

@LivInTheLookingGlass Interesting, how does it work?

predictedYES

@Nostradamnedus Well, I already have a bot that can deploy and resolve markets. One example is that it has a market template for a pull request being merged. If it's merged, it resolves to the number of days that took, otherwise it resolves to MAX. Examples:

The next step is to have it scan the Manifold GitHub repo for pull requests and make these automatically. I currently have 3 blockers:

Need to write the scanner (simple, just takes time)
Need to find some way to automatically set groups
Need to reorganize some database code so that these scanners can record information

I think I'd be surprised if I don't have that done by end of year, but it'll depend on how many other tasks I take on

Will a market generating bot be launched in Manifold by the end of 2022?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

People are also trading

Will Robin Hanson create a market on Manifold by the end of 2025?

Will Nick Bostrom create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Will Elon Musk create a market on Manifold before the end of 2030?

Will Vitalik Buterin create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Will Robin Hanson create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Will a U.S. Federal Government entity create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Will Sam Altman create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Will Bloomberg create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Will a U.S. State Government entity create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Will the Atlantic create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Related questions

Will Robin Hanson create a market on Manifold by the end of 2025?

Will Nick Bostrom create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Will Elon Musk create a market on Manifold before the end of 2030?

Will Vitalik Buterin create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Will Robin Hanson create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Will a U.S. Federal Government entity create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Will Sam Altman create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Will Bloomberg create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Will a U.S. State Government entity create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Will the Atlantic create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules