Basic
41
แน€3.5k
Nov 6
95%
Election Denying
95%
Puts himself before the country
71%
Attacks on Free Press
65%
Wants to fill all government positions with loyalists who will do whatever he says, including illegal and unconstitutional actions
55%
Corruption
40%
Repeated threats to kill or imprison those who disagree with him politically
38%
Cultishness
33%
Threat to Voting Rights
29%
Politicization of Justice Department
27%
Clear ambitions to purge the government of most civil servants
22%
American democracy is fragile
19%
He wants Trumpocracy
12%
Foreign Policy
12%
He isn't
9%
Immigration Policy

Robert F Kennedy JR claimed Joe Biden was a bigger threat to democracy than Donald Trump. Manifold disagrees. So what are the top 5 reasons Manifold thinks Donald Trump is a threat to democracy?

This market resolves to a poll. Top 5 resolves Yes everything else resolves No. Close time is arbitrary. The poll linked above does not resolve this market.

Get แน€600 play money
Sort by:

The threat to democracy comes from racist, intolerant, authoritarian leftists and liberal Democrats.

RFKJ probably meant democracy in the US, but worth considering whether a threat to democracy in the US is a threat to democracy worldwide, or maybe even democracy generally.

@KeenenW When does the poll start?

@CharlieBauer I had planned for sometime later this year after summer

bought แน€10 Immigration Policy NO

The total probability shouldn't add up to more than 500%

bought แน€28 Politicization of Ju... NO

@PlasmaBallin Agreed! Currently it's at 567%โ€ฆ

bought แน€10 Election Denying YES

What kind of poll is this going to be? Will everyone get to pick multiple options (which seems the most appropriate for this kind of poll), or only one?

@PlasmaBallin Yes, however the poll is done you will be able to vote yes or no for each option.