This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration (including any federal court) publicly releases previously unreleased files pertaining to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein which contain any mention of the listed individual between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only previously unreleased files, as of market creation, which contain novel material not previously available to the public will qualify. Documents that are merely re-released, have had redactions removed, repackaged, or newly publicized versions of already available information do not qualify.
Any mention of the listed individual in connection with Jeffrey Epstein will qualify, regardless of if connected to nefarious or illegal activities.
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@JussiVilleHeiskanen "Any mention of the listed individual in connection with Jeffrey Epstein will qualify": is there a "connection" here?
@ProjectVictory it says regardless of connection to illegal or nerfarious activities.
Also, the description is an exact copy of a Polymarket which has already resolved yes
@Jack1 There isn't any connection at all, other than that JE got an email (or something?) that had Biden's name in it. Jesus Christ shows up in the Epstein files by that metric.
I didn't bet on this market or anything, but I get irked when there are markets about nothing that resolve for no reason, but which are something-shaped and which people generally expect to resolve for some actual reason.
@Haiku Any mention of the listed individual in connection with Jeffrey Epstein will qualify, regardless of if connected to nefarious or illegal activities.
That's the description. There does not need to be a illegal/looks bad for biden connection
This market copied polymarket resolution.
I guess the problem is if you made a market about actual looks bad connections, it would be hard to draw the line somewhere, so they've drawn it there
@Jack1 That's funny. I guess that is at least what the title says, so that makes sense. It was a poor choice (on the part of the Polymarket author) to include confusing words like "connection" in the description. It's clearer if it just says "Former US President Joseph Biden is referred to by name in this release batch of the Epstein files." At which point the probability should have been a lot higher, given that his name has appeared in several prior batches.