I'd like to apply for a green card, and the next step is to send a bunch of stuff to some lawyer folk. Will I do this by 10pm Mon PST?
Minor points on resolution criteria:
If it seems to me like a reasonable attempt, but the lawyers write back and say they should be edited somehow, that still counts as long as the editing takes less than 4h. If I send the stuff except that it is missing minor things from other people or organizations (e.g. the signature of my employer) that still counts. If it seems ambiguous whether it was a reasonable attempt, I'll ask a friend to adjudicate.
Some relevant evidence:
I intend to.
I think I am unusually bad at reading and writing tasks that I am not interested by.
I'm pretty averse to this task. The lawyers told me what to send in late October, and I read their email in early November, and last worked on it much in early December.
The basic idea is to write a couple of letters and also a document on topics such as what I am doing and why it is important, and also give a long list of evidence about myself. I've collected a lot of the evidence, but it probably needs filtering and organizing and adding some things to.
It's plausible to me that this should take a few hours for a different person, but I think it has already taken me at least several days (I don't have a good record of it).
I meant to work on this for 1h40m today, but worked on it for much less time (~12m?)
In the next five days I have 9 meetings/hangouts/dates/parties scheduled, another small deadline, and expect to be unwell for about half a day in expectation
I am much less calibrated about my own behavior than other things: https://worldspiritsockpuppet.substack.com/p/calibration-of-a-thousand-predictions
I love Manifold profits
I am sometimes invigorated by impossibility of projects, and sometimes discouraged by it
My betting will not necessarily reflect my beliefs
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