Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will excess pandemic deaths for US 15-64yos stay below 10% now?
0
Ṁ50
resolved Nov 26
Resolved
N/A

Will excess mortality for those aged 15-64 in the US remain less than 10% above pre-pandemic-based projections until the end of June, according to this graph?

Resolution will be based on the last datapoint before the end of June, even if some of June is included in the following datapoint.

Market context
COVID
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

Resolved N/A because accidentally made two of the same market

Will excess pandemic deaths for US 15-64yos stay below 10% now?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

People are also trading

Will US life expectancy recover from its 2020-2021 "Covid" drop to exceed its 2019 level by 2029?
80% chance
Will the annual death rate at age 100 in the US drop below 1% before 2050?
47% chance
Will the CDC mortality report state that more US deaths from cancer occurred in 2025 than in 2024?
72% chance
Will a pandemic kill >75% of the peak pre-pandemic world population before 2100?
9% chance
Will the set of the 2023 top 5 causes of death be different by 2030? (In USA)
53% chance
Will the median maternal age at first birth decrease again after it's increase during COVID, by the end of 2026?
54% chance
Will US automotive deaths drop below 30,000/yr by the end of 2029?
36% chance
Which will be the first year the USA has less than 15k traffic deaths? (42k in 2024)
Will the US have fewer than 1000 cancer deaths in 2050?
14% chance
Will US automotive deaths drop below 30,000/yr by the end of 2028?
23% chance