Next pope leads more or less Catholics than current pope? | Manifold

Next pope leads more or less Catholics than current pope?

14

100Ṁ159

Dec 31

65%

chance

9

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

In the current news coverage it is often mentioned that Pope Leo XIV is now the head of 1.4 Billion Roman Catholics. Question resolves yes if the next Pope after Leo leads more than 1.4 billion Catholics. If the nuber stays the same, the question will resolve no.

Papal Elections

Get

1,000

to start trading!

Sort by:

Also this is set to resolve at the end of this year, when I would expect the current pope to remain pope longer than that.

Hmmm...

I suspect if the Catholic population starts shrinking, you might get different sources saying so at different times. Might want to specify what source you will use to resolve in case of conflicts.

People are also trading

Who will be the next pope after Leo XIV?

Will the next Pope reign for at least 1 year?

How long will Pope Leo XIV reign?

Depending on who the next Pope is, will he be based?

Which country will the next Pope following Robert Prevost be from?

Will the next pope be based?

Next pope regarded as conservative (YES) or liberal (NO)?

Will the next Pope last until the end of Trump's 2nd term?

Which country will the next Pope following Pope Leo XIV be from?

Will the next pope be gay?

Related questions

Who will be the next pope after Leo XIV?

Will the next Pope reign for at least 1 year?

How long will Pope Leo XIV reign?

Depending on who the next Pope is, will he be based?

Which country will the next Pope following Robert Prevost be from?

Will the next pope be based?

Next pope regarded as conservative (YES) or liberal (NO)?

Will the next Pope last until the end of Trump's 2nd term?

Which country will the next Pope following Pope Leo XIV be from?

Will the next pope be gay?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules