Will it snow in January markets:
/Kable/will-it-snow-in-toronto-january-202 [This one]
/Kable/will-it-snow-in-montreal-january-20
/Kable/will-it-snow-in-st-johns-nl-january
/Kable/will-it-snow-in-halifax-ns-january
Resolves YES if any amount of snow touches the ground (including E = Estimates, and T = Trace)
Resolves NO for Total Snow 0.0cm
Resolution Criteria: Total Snow (cm) at TORONTO INTL A
https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_data/daily_data_e.html?StationID=51459
Weather Forecast:
https://weather.gc.ca/city/pages/on-143_metric_e.html
Each day can be bet on independently and can be resolved the day after.
Notes:
- Until Manifold allows setting independent close dates on multiple choice markets, I will be setting the close date for these markets to every morning at 11AM UTC. The data for the previous day is usually available by then. I will resolve the previous day and reopen the market as soon as I can get around to it every day.
- Mods: Feel free to resolve the days that have met their resolution criteria if I haven't yet and/or set the new close date a day later.
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People are also trading
Snowing near the city but unsure if the storm will hit it
Just wondering if you were planning on making February markets? Thank you for running these!
@SirCryptomind I am going to stick to Canadian cities to streamline the process for my own markets but don't mind if someone wants to start up some markets for whatever else.
@Kable Would like to see something out west. Edmonton? Whitehorse even maybe? (Not sure if that one has snow obs)
@kalassak Good idea.
Edmonton: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_data/daily_data_e.html?StationID=27214
Whitehorse: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_data/daily_data_e.html?StationID=48168
Looks like no snow reporting at either, so I will do Calgary instead.
Here's what I have so far, might do one more.
/Kable/will-it-snow-in-toronto-february-20
/Kable/will-it-snow-in-montreal-february-2
/Kable/will-it-snow-in-moncton-nb-february
/Kable/will-it-snow-in-sudbury-greater-on
/Kable/will-it-snow-in-calgary-ab-february