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MANIFOLD
Will Israel cease fire by the end of the year?
14
Ṁ270Ṁ2.7k
resolved Nov 22
Resolved
YES

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predictedNO

@KSir If the intent was to resolve Yes for any ceasefire deal, then the market can close now. But if it was for some more specific thing, then you could clarify.

predictedNO

@Panfilo Yeah you are right. Ceasefire was announced. It might last long, but it's a ceasefire.

See this market for arbitrage: