https://bsky.app/profile/joshuajfriedman.com/post/3lzhzqp7e7c2f

For the purpose of this market, a Christian Rapture-Like Event occurs iff:
At least 70 people
Who are probably Christian (broad)
Get raptured
For reasons that are unlikely to be connected to terrorism, worldly violence, or outgroup conflict
And aren’t able to be contacted again by friends or loved ones
Not all Christians need to be taken, just a couple of them, say 70.
All satisfied options to resolve YES.
open questions to discuss in the comments:
does death count?
should any judeo Christian branch count? (Leaning yes)
does disappearance (à la LaHaye and Jenkins, 1995) count? or must there be an ascendance to heaven, calls of trumpets, etc?
My own subjective reasoning will resolve in the end but I can be swayed by discussion, so keep an eye on the comments before putting a large stake.
I am (very reluctantly) Christian, so if I get taken (or if, say, I get sent to the eternal fires of Heck for being trans), the mods will resolve however they see fit. Be sure to bicker about it in the comments, it drives engagement.
I’m only betting to set initial probabilities before adding liquidity. I won’t bet again.