Will RFK Junior reach 5 percent of the national Popular Vote? Current 538 polling average is 10.1 percent.
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48
Ṁ21k
resolved Nov 12
Resolved
NO

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Resolves NO, thank you.

@mods Another NO resolution, thank you.

-nvm- already reopenened, my manifold app was not updating

Surely this should not resolve until people have actually voted?

Even as someone who made money on this market, I concur that it's premature to resolve it. RFK is apparently still hoping to get votes in non-swing states. I think the odds are very long, but not zero.

re-opened

@jskf You may have to re-reopen

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