Will a HIMARS be disabled by enemy fire in Ukraine in 2024?
16
368Ṁ2251
resolved May 15
Resolved
YES

Will resolve YES following confirmation by any of: the US government, the Ukranian government, the government that donated the HIMARS, NATO, Economist, WSJ, NYT, FT, or other highly credible source.

The definition of "disabled" is fairly generous. For example, damage that prevents a HIMARS from firing, reloading, or moving 5 km under its own power resolves YES (even if it is later repaired and returned to service). The damage must be caused by enemy fire. If qualifying sources report that a HIMARS has been disabled but the source of the damage is unknown, this market will remain open until the cause is established to be enemy fire or I see clear evidence that it was.

As I understand it, up to January 2 2024, no HIMARS has yet been disabled by enemy fire in Ukraine.

Resolves 11:59 PM on Dec 31 2024, Kyiv time.

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