
Will president Trump fire Jerome Powell before EOY 2025?
63
Ṁ1kṀ18kresolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Update 2025-04-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Fired is defined strictly as an explicit unexpected termination of employment, not including any form of coerced or pressured resignation or termination as scheduled.
If Jerome Powell is pushed or pressured to resign rather than being formally fired, the outcome will resolve as a NO.
Update 2025-07-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve based on the action of firing by President Trump, not the result of that action (e.g., whether Jerome Powell actually leaves his position).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ742 | |
| 2 | Ṁ138 | |
| 3 | Ṁ128 | |
| 4 | Ṁ123 | |
| 5 | Ṁ69 |
People are also trading
Will Jerome Powell leave his role before the end of his term?
4% chance
Will Jerome Powell be appointed to a third term as Chair of the Federal Reserve?
1% chance
WIll Jerome Powell formally be indicted?
25% chance
Will Jerome Powell be alive through the end of 2035?
63% chance
Will Jerome Powell be alive through the end of 2030?
79% chance
Will Jerome Powell be alive through the end of 2040?
54% chance
Will President Trump extend the DOGE Executive Order Agenda past the July 4th, 2026 deadline?
8% chance
WIll Jerome Powell Be found guilty if indicted?
12% chance
Powell resigns if not re-appointed Fed chair?
44% chance
Will Donald Trump issue an executive order from the federal government at any point past February 1 2029?
17% chance
Sort by:
@JussiVilleHeiskanen just to confirm, you intend to resolve with a strict definition of "fire", right? So for example, Jerome being pushed to resign would count as a NO resolution?
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Jerome Powell leave his role before the end of his term?
4% chance
Will Jerome Powell be appointed to a third term as Chair of the Federal Reserve?
1% chance
WIll Jerome Powell formally be indicted?
25% chance
Will Jerome Powell be alive through the end of 2035?
63% chance
Will Jerome Powell be alive through the end of 2030?
79% chance
Will Jerome Powell be alive through the end of 2040?
54% chance
Will President Trump extend the DOGE Executive Order Agenda past the July 4th, 2026 deadline?
8% chance
WIll Jerome Powell Be found guilty if indicted?
12% chance
Powell resigns if not re-appointed Fed chair?
44% chance
Will Donald Trump issue an executive order from the federal government at any point past February 1 2029?
17% chance