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MANIFOLD
Framework for a Nordic Confederation before EOY2028? (see description)
3
Ṁ100Ṁ75
2028
25%
chance

I will be lenient on who drafts the framework. What counts is that they are authorized by the relevant authorities that would have to implement it. And the type of confederation isn't limited either, a united kingdom, a republic, a personal union, or a confederation of nation substates with varying governing heads, whatever. But must be comprised of at a minimum of three currently existing Nordic countries.

I will not trade.

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This market would benefit from an explanation of why the currently-existing Nordic Union does not qualify. Does there have to be any measure of transferred sovereignty?

@BrunoParga does it count as a country in a common sense definition of "country"

@JussiVilleHeiskanen I don't think there is such a definition that works well for a market here. But it's okay - I won't be trading in this market. Thank you and good luck!

@BrunoParga that's fine, as always

@BrunoParga I may think of a more formal criterion that would be in line what I wrote above, I'll reply to you then and edit the description, but that is what I am trying to capture with this market