What support level will Christopher Luxon have as preferred prime minister in New Zealand by June 1 2024
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resolved Jun 1
100%78%
20% or more and less than 30%
1.2%
Less than 20%
20%
30% or more and less than 40%
0.9%
40% or more and less than 50%
0.5%
50% or more

Resolves to the range within which the Christopher Luxon's support as preferred prime minister in New Zealand sits by June 1 2024.

He currently sits at 25% (i.e. 20% or more and less than 30%).

Source will likely be Wikipedia similar to: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2023_New_Zealand_general_election#Preferred_prime_minister

The smoothed line or poll-of-polls approach will be taken.

Question background:

  • A lot of commentary prior to and during the campaign was about Luxon's lack of political experience and skills given his previous background in the corporate world.

  • However as the 2023 NZ Election passes into the rearview mirror, could his experience in delivery, execution and operations in business translate into popularity as prime minister of New Zealand? Or what other extraneous factors might come into play to hit or boost his popularity?

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Firmly sitting in the 20-30% range since Jan 2024 Curia poll.

Source now available here:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_New_Zealand_general_election

Refer to the Preferred prime minister section.

December update has Luxon sitting at: 30% relative to Hipkins 22%.

Interestingly Chloe Swarbrick leads both job-sharing Deputy PMs:

Swarbrick: 6.3%

Seymour: 4%

Peters: 5%

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