The average number of points per game will be higher for the 2023 Rugby World Cup than the 2019 Rugby World Cup
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50
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resolved Oct 28
Resolved
YES

Resolves YES if the average number of points per game for the 2023 Rugby World Cup exceeds the 2019 edition of the tournament.

Otherwise resolves NO

2019 RWC Average Points Per Game (PPG) = 48.8 (pool phase, QF, SF, Bronze and Final)

*Note: 3 matches were cancelled during RWC 2019 for Typhoon Hagibis - these have not been included in the average calculation.


2023 RWC Average PPG = ???

  • 56.1 at 06/10/2023 during pool phase

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Update 29/10 NZT:

Average points per game 2019: 48.8
Average points per game 2023: 54.4

Resolves YES

Update 21/10 NZT:
The average points per game for 2023 at the close of the first semifinal:

55.7 (a drop of 0.1)

Still a one converted try lead over 2019

predicted NO

Update 17/10 NZT:

The average points per game for 2023 at the close of quarterfinals:

55.8 (a slight drop)

Still a one converted try lead over 2019

predicted NO

Update 10/10 NZT:
The average points per game for 2023 at the close of pool play:
56.2

predicted NO

At 06/10 NZT:
The average points per game for 2023 is now:
56.1

A couple of huge margins, notably Scotland over Romania and New Zealand over Uruguay.

As we enter the knockout phase we may see this average begin to drop as the old adage "Defence wins world cups" starts to rise to the fore.

predicted NO

A bit of context from 2019, the average number of points per game in pool play was 50. This is 7 points more than the 43 averaged during the knockout phase.

predicted NO

The average points per game for 2023 is now:
55.1

Big results for Uruguay, Japan and New Zealand have nudged the average up for 2023

The 2023 edition is currently tracking ahead (which you would probably expect during the pool phase) at 52.6 points per game