Will Eliezer Yudkowsky (@ESYudkowsky) follow me (@mealreplacer) on Twitter before the end of 2023?
86
567
1.4K
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

It would be pretty cool if Eliezer followed me on Twitter.

He sometimes likes my tweets, but doesn't seem to be willing to pull the trigger yet.

I think I can crack him. But let's see what the market thinks.

This market will resolve as YES if @ESYudkowsky follows @mealreplacer on Twitter before December 31st, 2023, 11:59pm UTC, and then does not unfollow @mealreplacer thereafter for at least 14 days.

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sold Ṁ10 of YES

Related conditional market on if Eliezer follows but then subsequently unfollows within the 14 days causing this to resolve No

https://manifold.markets/CameronHolmes/will-eliezer-yudkowsky-esyudkowsky-f60f244baddd

bought Ṁ100 of YES

Bull-ish after the last retweets by Yud.

bought Ṁ2 of NO

He warns of death, cries "life's not fair"
Self-important and blundery, doesn't play fair
But will he follow, with a click or a stare?
Who cares?

predicted NO

What happens if you change your username and Eliezer Yudkowsky follows someone else who’s @mealreplacer?

@ms I guess it would resolve yes, but doing that is not in my interest

What if @EliezerYudkowsky changes their username on Twitter such that it's no longer "@ESYudkowsky", follows you, then immediately changes it back?

predicted YES

@IsaacKing Why would that happen

I was coming in here to ask what happened if I followed you and then immediately unfollowed you but I see that you've already thought of all of my ideas

@EliezerYudkowsky and they say you’re a unique thinker smh

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky (@ESYudkowsky) follow me (@mealreplacer) on Twitter before the end of 2023?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition