Will there be a clash between Taiwanese and Chinese Coast Guard ships in the waters around Kinmen in 2024?
Dec 31

Clash: physical contact or projectile weapons fired (INCLUDING WATER CANNON). Reports of sonic or laser weapons fired will also cause a YES resolution. A loud speaker is not inherently a sonic weapon.

This is a deliberately 'low-bar' market primarily testing whether China and Taiwan are prepared to escalate the brewing trouble in Kinmen.

I will not bet in this market. I am avoiding defining the "waters around Kinmen" because I fear reports will not specify, but the intention is to refer to the waters that straddle the territory of China and Taiwan.

Get แน€600 play money
Sort by:

Where do unsafe manoeuvres sit?

@24a below the threshold needed for resolution ~

More related questions