The market linked in this description is the relevant market. Due to space limitation its wording in the title has been altered slightly.

I'm a coward so I am completely outsourcing the resolution of this market.

Market closes at 23.59 UTC on June 16th. If the referenced market has resolved YES by then, then this market resolves YES, otherwise (either it is still open or has resolved NO or N/A) it resolves NO.

https://manifold.markets/Fedor/will-the-ukrainian-army-launch-a-la-b0bb34b878c3?r=Sm9zaHVhV2lsa2Vz

Will the Ukrainian army launch a large scale counter-offense before July 2023?

93% chance. This market resolves to yes if the Ukrainian army makes a clear large scale counter offensive attack against Russia to reclaim their land before the end of June 2023. Will resolve yes if the counter-offense is clear and obvious before July 1st. Not if there are some probing attacks that…