Will the KMT win the 2024 Taiwan/ROC Presidential Election?
Basic
39
Ṁ3739
resolved Jan 13
Resolved
NO

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

This was added to the Yglesias dashboard, so here is a time capsule version to compare his calibration to Manifolds:

I'd resolve No if they form a coalition.

Comment hidden
Comment hidden
Comment hidden
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules