Will Taur Matan Ruak remain as Prime Minister after the 2023 East Timor Parliamentary Election on May 21st?
4
90Ṁ112resolved Jul 2
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Taur Matan Ruak is the leader of the People's Liberation Party. Although the PLP is currently the third largest party in parliament, Ruak served as PM for a coalition headed by CNRT from 2018 to 2020, then a different coalition headed by Fretilin from 2020 until the present.
I think this question is quite hard to answer!
Question will resolve once a viable coalition is formed and a PM is chosen, which presumably might take some weeks. If Ruak remains as an interim or lame-duck PM in the days after the election, this will not trigger a YES resolution
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ25 | |
| 2 | Ṁ8 | |
| 3 | Ṁ0 |
Sort by:
Have finally found some reporting on this. Seems it will be Gusmao, but I'll wait until July 1st for confimation
People are also trading
Related questions
Who will be Prime Minister of New Zealand at EOY 2025?
Who will be elected New Zealand Prime Minister in the next election?
Will Netanyahu still be the prime minister of Israel at the end of October 7th 2025?
91% chance
Will Christopher Luxon still be Prime Minister of New Zealand when the 2026 general election is held?
40% chance
Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain the prime minister of Israel until the next election?
97% chance
Will Donald Tusk stay Prime Minister of Poland for the full term?
96% chance
Will Netanyahu still be the prime minister of Israel at the end of October 7th 2026?
37% chance