Will New Caledonia become independent of France before 2035?
9
100Ṁ1312035
32%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
in the case of ambiguity, resolves YES if this Wikipedia page shows New Caledonia as a former French territory
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/French_colonial_empire#Territories
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will French Polynesia become independent from France by the end of 2037?
22% chance
Will any part of French Polynesia be a sovereign state before 2040?
43% chance
Will Martinique gain independence before 2030?
42% chance
Will Bougainville Island achieve independence from Papua New Guinea before 2029?
69% chance
Will California, or any part of California, become an independent country before 2030?
4% chance
Will Brittany gain independence from France before 2030
8% chance
Will Québec become an independent nation, separate from Canada, by 2040?
8% chance
Will the Cape declare independence before 2030?
12% chance
Will West Papua be independent by 2030?
32% chance
Will France be a member state of the EU on January 1st 2032?
90% chance