Will China occupy the Second Thomas Shoal before 2025?
8
110Ṁ553resolved Jan 3
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The Second Thomas Shoal is currently occupied by the Philippines.
This question resolves YES if China permanently stations armed forces on the Second Thomas Shoal
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ33 | |
2 | Ṁ22 | |
3 | Ṁ8 | |
4 | Ṁ6 | |
5 | Ṁ5 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will China occupy the Second Thomas Shoal before 2026?
44% chance
Will China occupy the Second Thomas Shoal before 2027?
47% chance
Will China occupy the Second Thomas Shoal before 2030?
55% chance
Will China escalate it’s claim to the Spratly Islands in the South China Sea before the end of 2025?
64% chance
Before 2026, will a US ship clash with a Chinese ship at Sabina Shoal?
33% chance
Will a Filipino, Chinese or US national be killed on or near the Second Thomas Shoal before 2027?
51% chance
Will there be a conflict over the South China Sea between two claimant states by the end of 2025?
26% chance
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2025?
10% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by 2025?
7% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by 2025?
7% chance