Will a nuclear thermal engine be successfully used to power a spacecraft before 2035?
30
95
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2034
54%
chance

Nuclear thermal rocket engines are a type of rocket engine that use nuclear reactions to heat a propellant, typically liquid hydrogen, to generate thrust. These engines have the potential to provide much higher specific impulse, or exhaust velocity, than chemical rockets, allowing spacecraft to travel much faster and farther in space. However, nuclear thermal rocket engines also present several technical challenges, such as the need for advanced radiation shielding and the risk of nuclear contamination in case of a malfunction. Despite these challenges, nuclear thermal rocket engines remain an active area of research for potential use in future space exploration missions.

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bought Ṁ20 of NO

I think the tech will probably be useful in our exploration later in the century, but I doubt they'll have one ready to go by 2035. We don't really have the orbital infrastructure or launch cadence to require or enable rapid prototyping of genuinely new propulsion tech.

predicts YES

Would a successful technology demonstration mission be sufficient to resolve this market yes?

@TomBouley definitely!

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