Resolving yes. I don't think there's any reasonable doubt about the nature and spirit of what's happening, even if we never get maps showing activity on the east coast

https://twitter.com/MoNDefense/status/1645036768344031232?s=20

@JoshuaWilkes May there be peace for our time.

Just as fyi for people who are waiting for me to resolve this. I am holding off until more reports come in, specifically with maps showing where drills took place.

Something which is different from last August is that China didn't release those maps before the drills started.

To be clear, I absolutely anticipate that I will be resolving this market to YES. I just can't quite shake a sense currently we lack a truly detailed picture of what's going on

@JoshuaWilkes https://twitter.com/mondefense?s=21

Taiwan Ministry of Defense has been updating on the situation. Should be the primary source for this.

@footgun agreed. In fact, it's their updates that are thing that has me holding off. You'll notice the maps clearly show incursions on the strait side but not to the east.

@JoshuaWilkes again, don't want to alarm you! Just want to ge clear about why I haven't already hit YES

@JoshuaWilkes https://twitter.com/MoNDefense/status/1645230589543616513?s=20

Drill started https://www.aljazeera.com/amp/news/2023/4/8/china-begins-three-days-of-military-drills-in-taiwan-strait

https://bnonews.com/index.php/2023/04/china-announces-military-drills-encircling-taiwan/

It's become obvious that I've been too slack with resolution criteria here. For clarification, 'comparable to last summer' means multiple drills in multiple zones surrounding Taiwan.

@JoshuaWilkes I'm just waiting for some sort of confirmation that the drills are indeed happening to the east of Taiwan as well as in the Strait