If Marco Rubio is confirmed as the next US Secretary of State, will China announce they are lifting sanctions on him?
3
100αΉ146Mar 20
45%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Within 60 days of his confirmation.
There needs to be an attributable statement to the PRC government. It is not enough if they quietly remove the sanctions. However, the statement does not need specific wording, as long as it draws attention to the fact the sanctions have been lifted.
I will not bet.
If Rubio is not the next secretary of state, resolves to NA
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Who will be the next Secretary of State, after Marco Rubio?
Will Marco Rubio still be Secretary of State in January 2026?
59% chance
Will the next US president lift the embargo on Cuba?
31% chance
Will Trump "Sell Out" Taiwan Under Rubio's State Department
45% chance
Marco Rubio visiting Taiwan before the end of 2028?
56% chance
Conditional Election market - Will the next US president lift the embargo on Cuba?
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Presidential election?
4% chance