After the next General Election, will the Conservative Party only hold seats in England?
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10
894
2025
5%
chance

So no seats in Wales, Scotland or Northern Ireland (the latter for completeness)

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The Conservatives best bets in Wales look to be Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr and Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe, both of which seem winnable, the former could be a great target for anti-Tory tactical voting though.

In Scotland they have a lot more potential targets where they're very close to the SNP: Aberdeenshire North and Moray East, Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk, Dumfries and Galloway, Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale, Gordan and Buchan, and West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine.

Assuming the odds on those seats are even close to correct, we're talking about a one or two percent chance the Conservatives lose all of them.

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