Will Manifold Markets be in the top 5 Google Search results for “Manifold" at the end of 2023?
24
390Ṁ3899
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
YES

At the end of 2023 (some time on December 31st PST), in a Safari incognito window, I will search 'manifold' (no quotes). If a Manifold Markets link is one of the first 5 links (not including links marked as sponsored) in the main-search result section, this will resolve YES, otherwise NO.

As of market creation manifold.markets is the 4th link when searched.

What counts as a main-search result?

I think this is best illustrated with a jankily drawn diagram! If after seeing this diagram, confusion remains, ask a question in the comments!

If Google substantially changes in such a way that the resolution criteria no longer make sense, I will resolve to the best of my ability based on the spirit of the market (feel free to ask hypotheticals to better understand what that would mean).

Due to the possibility of a subjective resolution, I will not purchase any shares in this market.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ219
2Ṁ61
3Ṁ43
4Ṁ34
5Ṁ29
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy