At the end of 2023 (some time on December 31st PST), in a Safari incognito window, I will search 'manifold' (no quotes). If a Manifold Markets link is one of the first 5 links (not including links marked as sponsored) in the main-search result section, this will resolve YES, otherwise NO.
As of market creation manifold.markets is the 4th link when searched.
What counts as a main-search result?
I think this is best illustrated with a jankily drawn diagram! If after seeing this diagram, confusion remains, ask a question in the comments!
If Google substantially changes in such a way that the resolution criteria no longer make sense, I will resolve to the best of my ability based on the spirit of the market (feel free to ask hypotheticals to better understand what that would mean).
Due to the possibility of a subjective resolution, I will not purchase any shares in this market.
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If there's incredibly high variability search to search, location to location, how would you resolve? Also where will you be doing your search from?
@spider I guess I can specify this more exactly. I'll edit the descriptions of my three markets to match this
I will resolve based on my first try at a Safari private browsing search from California (I'm not sure where in California I’ll be) some time on December 31st (probably in the morning, but I will not commit to that, it will definitely be on December 31st)
@spider currently 3rd result from Seattle in an incognito tab so this is a solid clarification point