@PatMyron I was vaguely curious about the size of the tails as well, which numeric markets don't convey. Well, at least that's the post facto explanation; the real explanation is that I forgot about them until I was too far committed in making the string of binary markets.

That being said, I think that creating a bunch of binary markets about something like this could genuinely be useful for intuiting a distribution. Also, I’d imagine this would have some sort of utility for political markets and maybe sports markets as well? Like, will X person win Y state. Or will X team beat Y team. I could see someone wanting to make a bunch of markets like that all at once, and this feature seems useful for that.

@audrey Yeah, but it could be more convenient. Also, I think the notification thing is the bigger part of this question, because spamming inboxes or whatever with slightly differing questions is Bad™.

@JoshuaB would this resolve to Yes if there was a way to toggle "don't notify my followers" for a given market, unrelated to any other details about the ease of market creation?

@jonsimon If I’m able to create the markets in 5 minutes or fewer (which seems entirely possible), then yeah (I think that if they do allow ya to silence notifications, then I will try to recreate the markets and if I can create ‘em witching the time, then I’ll resolve YES, otherwise I’ll leave the market open)

@JoshuaB Sigh, good ol’ phone typing

* within

@JoshuaB well seeing as you can already create a market in much less than 5 minutes with the help of copy/pasting, I take that to mean that this market is equivalent to "will Manifold provide a market-creation-notification toggle switch" which is a much lower bar

@jonsimon To be clear, it is creating a series of four markets not just one