Will video evidence that Epstein killed himself be released before 2026?
107
10kṀ35k
Dec 31
48%
chance
7

Context: https://nypost.com/2025/05/29/us-news/fbi-will-soon-release-video-that-proves-jeffrey-epstein-was-not-murdered/

FBI Deputy Director Dan Bongino promised Thursday to release new video that finally debunks conspiracy theories that sex predator Jeffrey Epstein could have been murdered — insisting “no one was there but him” at the time of his jail cell suicide.

“There’s video clear as day,” Bongino told Fox News’ “Fox & Friends” early Thursday.

“He’s the only person in there and the only person coming out. You can see it.”

Bongino, a former conservative talk radio host, stressed the footage didn’t show “the actual act” but would prove there was no one around his cell before he was found dead at Manhattan’s Metropolitan Correctional Center in 2019.

“There is video and when you look at the video, and we will release it, we’re working on cleaning it up to make sure you have an enhanced – and we will give the original so you don’t think there are any shenanigans – you will see no one in there but him. There’s just nobody there,” Bongino said.

If a video as described in this interview is released before 2026 (Eastern Time), resolves Yes. Otherwise, resolves No.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
bought Ṁ100 YES

Kinda baffling to me that people think he didn't kill himself and that he was murdered or something.

What was immediately my thought, and has since been, only enhanced by the time and evidence and accounts gone on since, is that he was simply allowed to kill himself given the circumstances (it was assumed he would do so if a lapse if proper monitoring happened, which it did)

@No_uh He didn't kill himself. He had one of his clones killed meanwhile he retired to some secret hideout.

https://manifold.markets/jim/did-jeffrey-epstein-clone-himself?r=amlt

@No_uh I think that Epstein killed himself (mostly on the heuristic that conspiracy theories are false), but I'm a NO on this because I think that Trumpworld is incredibly unreliable at following through on promises

bought Ṁ100 NO

"We’re working on cleaning it up to make sure you have an enhanced". This sounds extremely suspicious. Why now? Have they been working on it for 6 years?

Puts on tinfoil hat Have they been waiting for AI video generation to get good?

Anyways, does this still resolve yes if the video is released but widely believed to be fake?

@ProjectVictory Wide belief is a pretty bad standard! I think it's better to say situations like this resolve to a consensus of credible reporting.

@Joshua So it might resolve No on fake?

@ProjectVictory Theoretically possible, though vanishingly unlikely in my opinion.

@Joshua I swear to god if the AI edits the description again...

@Joshua what's the standard for credible reporting?

@TheAllMemeingEye Maybe I'll give a manifest talk about this

@Joshua @TheAllMemeingEye Wikipedia rules for Reliable sources is a very good place to start - it's not perfect but it's close

@FergusArgyll I generally endorse this, yes.

interesting

opened a Ṁ50 YES at 51% order

@strutheo It really jogs the noggin🤔

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy