Will Starship's Launch License be granted before Nov 16th? / Will there be a US government shutdown on November 17th?
24
820Ṁ10k
resolved Nov 17
100%99.5%
Starship Yes / Shutdown No
0.1%
Starship Yes / Shutdown Yes
0.1%
Starship No / Shutdown Yes
0.3%
Starship No / Shutdown No

This is a two-dimensional market, based on these two markets:

It will resolve to the one option which correctly predicts both outcomes, based on the resolution criteria of these two markets. Inspired by @NGK 's comment here.

Elon musk
SpaceX
Starship Launch Party
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https://www.reuters.com/world/us/uss-biden-signs-stopgap-spending-bill-white-house-says-2023-11-17/

https://www.faa.gov/media/69476

Are those enough to resolve this?

https://mashable.com/article/spacex-starship-launch-date

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