Will Jimmy Carter die during Manifest?
US PoliticsDeath marketsJimmy CarterManifestSpicyfest
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resolved Sep 25
Resolved
NO

Resolves Yes if his death occurs anytime between the first event and midnight Sunday.

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current market odds of him living to 2024 are 0.47, so daily chance of dying is 1-0.53^(1/99)=0.00639, so market odds of dying in the next two days implied by other markets is 0.0127

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