Will Jimmy Carter die during Manifest?
Basic
19
Ṁ5985
resolved Sep 25
Resolved
NO

Resolves Yes if his death occurs anytime between the first event and midnight Sunday.

#🇺🇸 US Politics
#Death markets
#Jimmy Carter
#Manifest
#️ Spicyfest
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current market odds of him living to 2024 are 0.47, so daily chance of dying is 1-0.53^(1/99)=0.00639, so market odds of dying in the next two days implied by other markets is 0.0127

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