Will Jimmy Carter die during Manifest?
US Politics•Death markets•Jimmy Carter•Manifest•Spicyfest
19
356
Ṁ390
resolved Sep 25
Resolved
NO

Resolves Yes if his death occurs anytime between the first event and midnight Sunday.

Get Ṁ200 play money

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ33
2Ṁ19
3Ṁ16
4Ṁ7
5Ṁ6
1 Comment
17 Holders
38 Trades
Sort by:
bought Ṁ50 of NO

current market odds of him living to 2024 are 0.47, so daily chance of dying is 1-0.53^(1/99)=0.00639, so market odds of dying in the next two days implied by other markets is 0.0127

Related in US Politics

See more US Politics questions

Related in Death markets

See more Death markets questions

Related in Jimmy Carter

See more Jimmy Carter questions

Related in Manifest

See more Manifest questions

Related in Spicyfest

See more Spicyfest questions

More related questions