This resolves YES iff between the creation of this market and the end of the Manifest Conference, someone gets a permanent tattoo that is clearly manifold related.
Examples: The origami crane, mana-chan, any of the notable manifold memes.
If someone gets a tattoo that is related to prediction markets in general but not necessarily manifold, this resolves to 50%.
Examples: A brier score, the word "superforecaster", the word "Metaculus".
Convincing proof must be posted in the comments of this market before market close. I will be wary of any photoshop attempts, so a video would be ideal.
I am also happy to confirm in person and take a video, as I will be attending Manifest. If no proof is posted by market close, this market resolves NO.
I will not trade in this market or get a tattoo myself.
๐ Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
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1 | แน93 | |
2 | แน92 | |
3 | แน77 | |
4 | แน39 | |
5 | แน23 |