Will anyone earn more than 20,000 mana total from attending Manifest? (The cost of the ticket!)
13
250Ṁ2341
resolved Sep 29
Resolved
YES

https://www.manifestconference.net/

This question resolves YES if anyone posts proof in the comments that someone attended Manifest and walked away with more than 20,000 mana from Manifest-specific sources. It resolves NO if no one does so by market close.

Manifold staff/contractors/volunteers are ineligible, and I'll disqualify any mana I think was given just to manipulate this market.

Fine print:

  • The mana can't be paper profits, it must be from resolved markets, closed positions, and/or awarded bounties specifically intended for manifest attendees.

  • Managrams are allowed only if they are from manifold staff as a manifest-related reward, not from one normal user to another.

  • It needs to be >20,000 net mana from attending manifest, so losses from bets made at manifest count against it but losses from other non-manifest reasons do not.

  • The cost of a manifest ticket is not included in this calculation.

  • The mana has to be gained while at manifest, not before. If someone suggested a session and got a bounty that doesn't count, because anyone could have done that and not attended.

I will not trade on this question.

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Alright, I believe pretty much everything that has closed or N/A has closed or N/A-ed.

My networth started at ~180k and has ended up at ~204K, for a total net mana of ~24K, almost entirely from manifest-related sources. I notably also loaned out some mana at manifest as well.

The announced poker prizes were also in excess of 20k, though I don't know the final numbers there as of posting.

Planning to resolve this yes if there are no objections.

Yeah I haven't done the exact accounting yet but pretty sure I succeeded here, and if I didn't I think the winner of the poker game did.

One in a series of markets:

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