Will any of Donald Trump's criminal trials end in a mistrial or hung jury before the end of 2024?
1k
2025
30%
chance

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Resolves YES after official announcement or reliable media reports of a criminal trial of Donald Trump ending in a Mistrial before market close. Resolves N/A if there are no criminal trials of Donald Trump before market close. Resolves NO otherwise.

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This has been at 50% since I made the question six months ago. Have we learned nothing since? Here's a more specific question for just the January 6th trial:

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