Who will be the first person or group to convincingly replicate the LK-99 Superconductivity in 2023?

10

Ṁ360Ṁ2.9k

resolved Jan 1

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

100%98.9%

No replication in 2023

0.2%

@iris_IGB on Twitter/X

0.4%

Argonne National Lab

0.4%Other

Same as this market, but for those who think that convincing replication will take longer:

I will resolve this market early if there is a definitive consensus that there will be no convincing replication. I will not trade in this market.

Market context

superconductivity

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Related questions

Nobel Prize by 2035 if LK-99 superconductor replicates?

Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2027?

Will any of the seven LK-99 superconductor authors win a Nobel before 2030?

Will any of the seven LK-99 superconductor authors win a Nobel before 2034?

Will room-temperature superconductors (such as LK-99) achieve commercial adoption by 2028?

Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print ever get replicated?