Which living AI-related person is the Lisan A.I. Gaib?
106
1.2K
4.1K
resolved Apr 14
@Joshua It is currently a three-way tie between Mira, Yudkowsky, and Sam. 10 yes votes each.
+10%
on
Apr 9
100%95%
Eliezer Yudkowsky
0.0%
Emmett Shear
0.4%
Sam Altman
0.0%
Ilya Sutskever
0.0%
Dario Amodei
0.0%
Demmis Hassabis
0.0%
Elon Musk
0.0%
Jensen Huang
0.2%
0.0%
Yoshua Bengio
0.0%
0.0%
Robert Miles
0.0%
Geoffrey Hinton
0.0%
Paul Christiano
4%
deepfates
0.0%
gwern
0.0%Other

This market resolves to whoever Manifold chooses as the Lisan A.I. Gaib, using approval voting in the following market which will resolve N/A:

The poll-market and this market will both be open until Sunday, April 14th. Whoever has the most yes-holders in the Approval Voting market will resolve to 100% in this market.

Definition:

Lisan al Gaib is the Fremen term for an off-world prophet or messiah. The term comes from the Arabic, "لسان," (Lisan) meaning "Tongue," and potentially "الغيب" (al Gaib) meaning "The hidden", "The absent/missing", or "The unseen".

It is possible that Herbert intended to reference the metaphysical Sufi application of الغيب, which has been conjectured to connote the 'unseen dimensions of Reality'. If so, Lisan al Gaib may indicate that one is a "prophet" rather than a "foreigner".

With that said, Herbert rarely drew from extant language or concept without a degree of obfuscation and amalgamation. It may be as likely that he was referencing the word, "الغريب" (al garib), meaning "The Strange(r)", "The Otherworldly", or "The Weird". Given Old English definitions of "weird" and the Fremen's reference to Jessica as a witch, this connection may be supported.

Taken in combination, Lisan al Gaib may be understood to mean that who is alien (both geographically and organismically), and who speaks with supernatural power and insight into that which is not known.

This market is a sequel to my previous market: /Joshua/hank-green-asks-who-is-the-best-fam

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With 39 votes, @EliezerYudkowsky has crushed his rivals and been dubbed Manifold's Lisan A.I. Gaib.

gg

Sad this was unranked :(

@benshindel Hard to argue this is super valuable prediction hahaha

@Joshua I’m fighting for my life in diamond league here

Is market manipulation wrong

in a Silly market?

reposted

@traders. the approval-voting market has been created! It will resolve N/A in one week, and this market resolves to the winner of the poll:

Get your final submissions in before I make the poll!

In the event that the resolution poll has a tie, the winner will be decided by a knife duel to the death.

@Joshua It is currently a three-way tie between Mira, Yudkowsky, and Sam. 10 yes votes each.

Hmmmm

@Mira @EliezerYudkowsky May thy knives chip and shatter.

Robert Miles
bought Ṁ2 Robert Miles YES

@jim is me and runs an ai lab which has achieved agi

sold Ṁ6 @jim YES

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