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MANIFOLD
[Short Fuse - Vibes Based] What will be the next big piece of US political news to break before the end of the weekend?
12
Ṁ625Ṁ2k
resolved Oct 2
100%87%
Gaetz moves to oust McCarthy
0.2%
Jimmy Carter Dies
8%
Newsom announces Feinstein's replacement
2%
Bowman gets put under investigation for pulling the fire alarm
3%Other

Yesterday it was Feinstein's death. Today it was the unexpected aversion of a government shutdown. Is another shoe going to drop?

After market close I will evaluate all true options and choose the one I think was the biggest news. A story does not have to be as big as these last two big stories to resolve this market, but it does have to be something worth talking about.

If nothing at all interesting really happens then I will resolve to the answer I think was most entertaining. If I'm not sure which one was most entertaining, I'll set up a poll.

I will not bet in this market.

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The market seems to have decided that the Gaetz news was bigger than the senate replacement news. Anyone want to make the case for not resolving to Gaetz?

This is also just vibes based, but "Gaetz" is trending on Twitter. No mention of Bowman or Feinstein

I filed this under "Gaetz moves to oust McCarthy"

I'm pretty sure bowman is going to be investigated, but I feel like something bigger is going to happen

Yeah past news doesn't count, I intended that answer to be for if we heard more about a formal investigation into Bowman.

@jack Right. I have a similar question about the main thing that's on the news today - Mccarthy might be removed. It was already very obvious that it would happen by the time that this was created. All that changed is that Gaetz said a thing

Him declaring he's going to try to oust him this week seems like big news to me

@Joshua Yeah, I'm buying that one up heavily

A big fat NO bet for the immortal Jimmy Carter!