Public Interest Bounty: Make markets about the new AI Executive Order! 500 mana and 3000 subsidy to the best market!
No bounty left

Hello! I've got about 4000 mana left in my Public Interest Subsidy budget, and I see that Biden has just signed an executvie order on AI.

Apparently the order is also extremely long!

I think it would be great if we could get some markets up about the specifics of what's in the order and what will happen because of it.

If you make a yes/no market about the order and post it here, I'll award a bounty of 50 mana to cover the cost of making the market. I'll award up to 500 mana this way, and you can get multiple bounties for making multiple markets if I think they're good.

Once we've got some submissions, I'll award an extra bounty of 500 mana to the single market creator I think did the best. I'll also award 3000 mana of subsidy to the market I think most deserves it.

#AI
#️ Technology
#Manifold
#AI Safety
#Subsidy Spotlight
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Ṁ1,000
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S3.00
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+Ṁ550

https://manifold.markets/NicoDelon/will-the-ai-safety-executive-order?r=Tmljb0RlbG9u

Will the AI safety executive order be ruled unconstitutional by SCOTUS by 2025?
50% chance. Resolves YES if the US Supreme Court rules the executive order unconstitutional by January 1, 2025. The executive order: https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/presidential-actions/2023/10/30/executive-order-on-the-safe-secure-and-trustworthy-development-and-use-of-artificial-intelligence/ [link preview]
+Ṁ100

/marketwise/in-which-quarter-will-nist-publish
Could think of one but it isn't a yes/no market.

+Ṁ50

https://manifold.markets/HastingsGreer/i-have-8-a6000s-a-webserver-and-pub?r=SGFzdGluZ3NHcmVlcg A basic question about the content of the EO, that I haven't been able to answer by reading it.

I have 8 A6000s, a webserver, and public models and datasets. Does Biden's AI order restrict me?
50% chance. Resolves yes if a comment is posted about an action I could have taken with these resources, that is now banned by the EO. Resolves no on Jan 1 2024
+Ṁ50

https://manifold.markets/Nostr0m/will-the-us-government-adopt-a-mand?r=Tm9zdHIwbQ

Will the US government adopt a mandatory labeling system for AI-generated content by 2025?
50% chance. Per the Oct 30, 2023 AI executive order: "Finally, my Administration will help develop effective labeling and content provenance mechanisms, so that Americans are able to determine when content is generated using AI and when it is not. " https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/presidential-actions/2023/10/30/executive-order-on-the-safe-secure-and-trustworthy-development-and-use-of-artificial-intelligence/ [link preview]

Here's the full text of the EO

Related questions

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