If the TIME person of the Year is some form of AI, will it be specifically ChatGPT?
60
990Ṁ7086
resolved Dec 6
Resolved
N/A

Also includes if the title is shared, such as "Sam Altman and the AI" or "Sam Altman and ChatGPT".

Resolves N/A if the POTY is not some form of AI.

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If "Sam Altman" is PotY, this resolves as N/A, right? Since Sam Altman is not "some form of AI".

predictedYES

Yeah, if it's sam by himself then this resolves N/A

Now that anyone took my bluff, I'm betting at 30%

It's free money. In nearly a century of history, NEVER a brand has won.

I'll be taking bets at 45%

A reasonable prior, but I disagree!

Firstly, ChatGPT is so dominant in the space that it's almost a generic at this point, I don't think it would be seen as endorsing the brand.

Secondly, there just haven't been that many opportunities for brands to win! They went with "the computer" before, and I think that was just obviously the right way to phrase that choice. Saying "Artificial Intelligence" without specification is too broad though, it includes all kinds of AI tech when clearly the POTY was in fact ChatGPT specifically if we accept that AIs can qualify.

Thirdly, and somewhat facetiously, I'll say that Elon is at least as much a Brand as he is a human and he won.

ChatGPT is the fastest organically growing app ever

predictedNO

@ItsMe this is false. That's Meta Threads

predictedYES

@MP Was that really organic?

predictedNO

@Joshua afaik, yes. They didn't do marketing towards their Instagram base. It would be silly doing so. It's better to scale the network slowly

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