Happy Petrov Day! What percent of Manifold users will vote to resolve this market N/A?

28

Ṁ570Ṁ765

resolved Oct 3

Resolved as

39%

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

If the majority of manifold users in my poll vote to press the button, this market is consumed in nuclear fire and resolves N/A.

If a majority of manifold users vote not to press the button, this market resolves to the percentage of users that voted to press the button.

Market context

Existential Risk

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1,000

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🏅 Top traders

#	Trader	Total profit
1		Ṁ21
2		Ṁ20
3		Ṁ12
4		Ṁ11
5		Ṁ8

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predictedNO

The world continues, unexploded <3

bought Ṁ100 NO

I have faith in y'all!

predictedNO

...maybe this was unwise

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When will the final resolved market on Manifold be resolved?

What percentage of current Manifold.Markets users asking questions that resolve in 2030 will close out their own post?

What proportion of Manifold markets made in January 2027 will be visible to more than 100 users?

What percent of Manifold Markets users are affiliated with the EA community? (Permanent)

Will Manifold let AI autoresolve markets by 2028?

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Related questions

When will the final resolved market on Manifold be resolved?

What percentage of current Manifold.Markets users asking questions that resolve in 2030 will close out their own post?

What proportion of Manifold markets made in January 2027 will be visible to more than 100 users?

What percent of Manifold Markets users are affiliated with the EA community? (Permanent)

Will Manifold let AI autoresolve markets by 2028?

📊 Poll: What Do You Think Manifold Markets Are Best At?

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