I will be redoing https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/24RKHEkwgZ6Hm6ygY/can-an-llm-make-a-feature-length-movie-on-its-own with Fable 5.5 once it comes out. I will be using the 1920s novel We by Yevgeny Zamyatin as the source material and supplying the text. I have a variety of software tools in a pipeline set up for this, but I plan to otherwise just tell Fable to do it with no intervention besides telling it to keep working. I'll try to make a transcript to prove this was autonomous.
Whatever the "final cut" looks like I will be uploading it to my YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@joshuasnidercom) and sharing the link here. Will Fable's work be watchable? I will make a poll if it's ambiguous, but "watchable" is not intended to be a high quality bar.
If there's no new Fable by EOY, I'll resolve this N/A.
Will the next Claude Fable be able to autonomously make a watchable movie?
21
Ṁ100Ṁ330Dec 31
28%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Will Anthropic release a new Claude Fable model before November 5, 2026?
34% chance
Next Claude Fable released before Anthropic IPO?
70% chance
Claude Fable 5.2+ (Anthropic) release date
Claude Fable 5.6+ (Anthropic) release date
What version number will Anthropic's next Claude Fable model carry? (released by Nov 30, 2026)
When will the next Claude Fable be released?
11/19/26
When will Anthropic release its next Claude Fable model (newer than Fable 5.1)?
Will any model at least as good as Claude Fable 5 and 10x cheaper be released by the end of 2026?
64% chance
Will any model at least as good as Claude Fable 5 and 10x cheaper be released by the end of March 2027?
87% chance
Anthropic Releases at Least 2 more Fable models before 2027?
38% chance