The Israel-Hamas hostage deal is structured in 3 phases. Phase 1 lasts for 42 days and if implemented fully will see 33 hostages released. Negotiations for Phase 2, to free the remaining hostages, are supposed to begin 16 days after the beginning of Phase 1. Some members of the Israeli governing coalition have called to resume the war after Phase 1.

This question resolves YES if the war does not resume and at least 1 Israeli hostage is released as part of Phase 2. It resolves NO if the ceasefire collapses during or after Phase 1 and fighting resumes. If negotations continue inconclusively after Phase 1 (with neither fighting not hostage releases), the market will be extended until there is a resolution, and could resolve N/A in a particularly ambiguous case.

Resolution will be based on reputable news souces and US/Israeli government/Hamas official statements