Will I [Jose] find a gf before end of 2025?
Will I [Jose] find a gf before end of 2025?
7
100Ṁ707
2026
96%
chance

"gf" to be considered ~ "person I intend to be with for the longer term" ~ "life partner" regardless of whether or not we use the gf/bf terms.

Date-me doc here, https://jlricon.notion.site/Date-Jos-152b4a20459b8066ac87e3ec08a17dd8?pvs=4

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girl I like, went to vibegala together, said i love u to each other (not yet gf/bf status, but we intro each other as partner)

I found a girl I like, will she ascend to gf status?

bought Ṁ2 NO5mo

Huge arbitrage alert

bought Ṁ500 YES5mo

I'll be shocked if this doesn't happen

@AndrewG the base rate is 1gf in the last 3 years

5mo

@JoseLuisRicon it's an auspicious year for love

Is everything you said 3 months ago in the last market still true?

Me:

Some general questions:

  • What is your age and sexual/romantic orientation?

  • What part of the world do you live in?

  • What is the size, gender balance, and relationship success rate of your friendship group?

  • Are you actively attempting to find someone, or planning to in the near future?

  • What dating methods do you intend to use?

  • What are your political views e.g. in terms of economics, government, and progressivism (particularly gender equality)?

  • What are your free-time hobbies, and what topics do you enjoy chatting about, both for small talk and deep discussions?

  • Do you have any neurodivergence?

  • Do you find it difficult to enjoy the company of, compassionately care about, and trust people you meet?

You:

  • 31, heterosexual

  • SF

  • Large I guess? It's the SF friendblob, hundreds of people interacting across a number of house parties or other events. Most date within this scene.

  • Yes

  • I think all? (Apps, including more obscure ones like cuties.app, continuing living life where I have a reasonable exposure to new people, I have a date me doc etc)

  • I'm not very vocally political, but lean libertarian in general

  • I spent most of my free time socializing, going to house parties, etc. I also go social dancing, ecstatic dancing, read books, sometimes I write, go to restaurants. I like to talk about work, both my own and the other person, as well as our life stories, recent happenings in our lives etc

  • Not diagnosed. I don't have ADHD (I have high executive function without need for drugs!l But probably I'm into the 'tism to some degree

  • I don't! People are nice

@TheAllMemeingEye
Changes: 32M + writing new date-me doc, posting it soon.

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