Within 25 years there will be a female world chess champion (FIDE).
19
49
1k
2048
11%
chance

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predicts NO

9% includes trans women. Otherwise it’s prolly 2%

bought Ṁ80 of NO

Right now the highest-ranked woman in chess ranks just below the top 100 players overall.

https://ratings.fide.com/top.phtml?list=men

https://ratings.fide.com/top.phtml?list=women

The numbers in go are similar: women account for 1 of the top 100 and 4 of the top 200; the top-ranked woman is ranked 59th.

https://www.goratings.org/en/

What happens to this market if the rules for the world chess championship are changed to give women an advantage?

predicts NO

@Boklam Realistically there’s no way to do that with dignity

predicts NO

I’ll accept whoever FIDE says is the world champion for purposes of resolving this

predicts NO

@JonathanRay Dignity or not, I think it's reasonably likely to happen ... somewhere in the 5% range, maybe?