Will there be drake passage hydropower by 2050?
Will there be drake passage hydropower by 2050?
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The strong eastward ocean current through the drake passage is about 600x the volume of the Amazon (1.2*10^8 m^3/s vs 2*10^5 m^3/s) and it reliably has some of the highest waves in the world. This alone could probably provide more hydropower than all of humanity's power consumption. OTOH it's in a remote uninhabited inhospitable part of the world. Resolves YES if there is any >1MW power generating station using drake passage currents/waves by 2050.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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